= 4 * (COST)

As many of you would have rightly understood, I'm talking about forecasting.

Forecasting can be explained in different contexts. Wherever there's cost involved as well as uncertainity or unpredictability of the future; we talk of forecasting.

Forecasting our future( Jyotish), forecasting the sales, production requirements, whether we would win the world cup, whether the neighbour's daughter would run away with some loafer, whether we would be the super-power, forecasting the TRP's, forecasting final marks, forecasting the job, forecasting our life.... any where and every where we can find people prediciting and commenting on different areas and aspects of life.

In India, the most visble problem is "Political Will" hampering the growth of the country from being a super power.With the national general election round the corner making a way to the hallway "forecasting again shows its prowess".

The TV channels, radios, stage show wallas, security agencies, gundas n mafias, students fraternity, the coporate wealth tanks all are after the speculated polls and the party which would come in power in India.

But as against other places in India, the polls are always faltered by.. may be state or national election. What could be the probable causes of this offset in results..?

Some say its because the media is corrupt, but its there everywhere.May be naarowing down we find its "WE" who are responsible for its failure. We donot will to expose which party we are inclined towards radically as most of us feel that politics is dirty. In certain other countries the politics is people sponsored directly which is not so here. Also there is so much diversity amongst us that a huge sample also cannot predict the population sentiment.

All this finally leads to a cumbersome cost of predictive polls like:

Cost of i Competition
ii Consumer deterioration
iii Canibalization amongst the channels as well as
iv Corrupt Politics !


So forecating = 4 * ( costing) In & for INDIA in this case .. !!